
What ages to
immunize to
reduce the spread of infectious disease is an important public health topic of research. Recent evidence from a study
published in PLoS and
covered by the WSJ, suggests that for
influenza the answer changes with the varying
transmissibility of that particular strain. Currently, we
immunize the young and old since they are at the highest risk for dying from
flu and it's complications. The
recent studies suggest that with a moderately transmissible influenza strain,
immunizing the young will provide the most protection for the entire population.
This reminds me of how the Japanese were able to drastically reduce their rate of overall deaths when they
immunized all school aged children. Unfortunately, the political will to continue this evaporated, and with the decrease in
immunization rates of children, all-cause mortality returned to their previous levels. This suggests that
immunizing the children protected the rest of the population including the elderly.
This is all the more sad as
NEJM JournalWatch covers
CDC reports that
toddlers aren't getting immunized. "At least half of children between ages 6 months and 5 years aren't receiving influenza vaccine." The
AP reports it as well.
It will be interesting to see how this evidence plays out in discussions at the
NCIP who decides our national immunization policies. Here are their
current policies. Will we
"drain the swamp" as Dr. Reyes so richly illustrates, or continue to preferentially
immunize the elderly as well. In a
year with ample vaccine, we can
immunize all - but what in a year with less supply?
via
PLoS,
CDC,
Instapundit,
WSJ,
Kevin, MD,
NYT,
Connotea,
FierceBiotech,
Taraneh Razavi and
Dr. Nancy Reyes.
Tailrank lists other commenters... as does the comments over at
economist Greg Mankiw's blog.
Image via
AndyInSouthAmerica